BrewBrain Sports Investing

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Archive for November, 2009

22 Nov

NBA 11/22/09 Money Lines

And we get off to an early start with Orlando and Toronto tipping off at 12:30 eastern.  Here are my custom money lines:
22-Nov BB ML
Orlando 178
Toronto -178
Boston -533
NewYork 533
Indiana 127
Charlotte -127
NewOrleans 545
Miami -545
Detroit 545
Phoenix -545
OklahomaCity 178
LALakers -178

21 Nov

NFL Week 11 Spreads

Here are my custom spreads for the NFL this weekend. Visitor spread is shown. As always, I’m playing games I can get a favorable spread at -115 or better.  ESPN’s Pigskin Pick’em game lines are used for blog tracking purposes.  They are roughly equal to Tuesday lines I think, which is when I […]

21 Nov

NBA Wrap - 11/21/09

An excellent day that could have been a huge home run.  I had two dogs get very close - Detroit took Utah to overtime and Philly blew a 6-pt lead after three by scoring a whopping 10 points in the final quarter.  Even so, I more than covered for my dismal college football showing today.  […]

21 Nov

College Football Week 12 Wrap

Not a terrific week, but felt way worse than it was.  Plenty of opportunities blown.  It’s been a rough couple of weeks.
For the week I went 12-14 in non-pushed games for 46.15%.  YTD is 132-102 for 56.41%, so still plenty of green.  Hypothetical $110 wagers at -110 yields $1,980, or a tidy little 7.69% return.

21 Nov

College Football Week 12

Teams with my own custom spread:
ACC
Teams Spread
Maryland 3.9
FloridaState -3.9
NorthCarolina 0.4
BostonCollege -0.4
Virginia 10.7
Clemson -10.7
NCState 13
VirginiaTech -13
Duke 4.7
Miami -4.7
Big East
Teams Spread
Louisville 3.1
SouthFlorida -3.1
Rutgers -7.6
Syracuse 7.6
SEC
Teams Spread
MississippiState 1.5
Arkansas -1.5
Kentucky 2.6
Georgia -2.6
LSU -1.8
Mississippi 1.8
Vanderbilt 8.7
Tennessee -8.7
Big Ten
Teams Spread
Wisconsin -3.5
Northwestern 3.5
Purdue 1.2
Indiana -1.2
PennState -2.8
MichiganState 2.8
OhioState -13.7
Michigan 13.7
Minnesota 5.4
Iowa -5.4
Big 12
Teams Spread
Colorado 10.5
OklahomaState -10.5
IowaState 0.4
Missouri -0.4
KansasState 3.8
Nebraska -3.8
Kansas 16.7
Texas -16.7
Oklahoma -3.7
TexasTech 3.7
Baylor 5.1
TexasAM -5.1
PAC 10
Teams Spread
Oregon -7.5
Arizona 7.5
California 7.6
Stanford -7.6
ArizonaState 1.4
UCLA -1.4
OregonState -19.8
WashingtonState 19.8
Good Luck!

21 Nov

NBA 11/20 wrap

Very good night of NBA action.  The Warriors capped a +21% night.
Today’s games:
New York +122
Philadelphia +480
Milwaukee +145
Houston -700
San Antonio -268
Denver -392
Detroit +367

20 Nov

NBA tonight

Here are the plays I have on for tonight:
NBA Moneylines:
Indiana
Memphis
Miami
Atlanta
Oklahoma City
Boston
Dallas
Milwaukee
Golden State
I had no play on the Denver/Clippers game.
I’m still finding my way with these NBA moneylines. I started out wagering a flat amount to risk, but looking back at the results, it seems I’d be doing a whole lot better by betting to […]

17 Nov

NBA Money Lines 11/17/09

Yesterday was 1-1, both went to overtime.  Today:
Warriors +292/Cavs -292
Thunder +186/Heat -186
Pacers -656/Jersey +656
Clippers -288/Hornets +288
Suns +455/Rockets -455
Toronto +1167/Denver -1167
Bulls +600/Kings -600
Pistons +186/Lakers -186
These are my lines.  I’m plyaing teams with an edge against the Vegas Line.

16 Nov

NBA Moneyline Betting Starts Today

I have two bets today - Atlanta at -165 and Milwaukee at -125.  I graded the Charlotte/Orlando game at +950/-950 and have no bet.

15 Nov

College Football Week 11 Wrap

Not a good week.  Week 11 came in at 13-17 for 43.33%.  Overall, I’m 120-88 for 57.69%, so still very good.
It was a real grind the whole day, but I was ahead by a little the entire time until the very late games where I whiffed completely.

13 Nov

Holding off NBA until next week

After looking over last year’s data a little more closely, I’ve decided to wait until next Monday to start playing/publishing my morning lines.  It took until Week 3 last year for the numbers to start looking reasonable.  There will always be a certain amount of strangeness when numbers are involved, but it should be minimal […]

12 Nov

NBA Money Lines 10/12/09

Two games tonight:
I really think I’ll stick to spreads if they end up working. These money lines come out too late for me.
12-Nov ML Need ML Offer Play
Cleveland 137 -115 NO
Miami -137 102 YES
Phoenix 195 275 YES
LALakers -195 -335 NO

11 Nov

NBA Update

This is the first week I’m tracking spreads in the NBA on paper.  So far this week I’m 14-10 through tonight, so pretty good start.  If this ATS stuff works out in the NBA I’ll need to figure out a plan for working with spreads and money lines.
Speaking of money lines, how about tonight, eh?  […]

11 Nov

NBA - Money Lines for tonight (in progress)

So I got home in time to finish a little work on my line generation machine and popped out a couple late games.  I’m playing these right now:
Teams My ML Book ML […]

11 Nov

College Football Week 11 Spreads

Here are my Week 11 spreads for college football. I’m playing all games at -115 or better:
ACC
Teams Spread
VirginiaTech -8
Maryland 8
GeorgiaTech -3.7
Duke 3.7
Clemson -10.7
NCState […]

11 Nov

NFL 2009 Week 10 Spreads

Here are my spreads for Week 10 of 2009 NFL action.  I’m playing games where I can get -115 or better.
Visitor BrewBrain Vegas
Home Spread Spread
Bears 1.3 -3.5
49ers […]

11 Nov

NBA Money Line Update

Well, I finished digesting and analysing data from last year’s NBA games.  I like what I found.  Starting with tomorrow’s games, I’ll release my BrewBrain Custom NBA Money Lines.  Keep in mind these have not been tested against live money line odds yet, so proceed with caution if you choose to incorporate them into your […]

10 Nov

NBA stuff

This week starts my paper wagering against NBA spreads.  If I’m showing a theoretical profit against -110 lines after a few weeks, I’ll start publishing my spreads.
Also, I did more work on my NBA money line strategy last night.  I’m now about 3/4 of the way through my analysis of last year’s games.  At this […]

10 Nov

BCS only for the rest of the year

We don’t have much college football remaining.  At this point, I think it’s fair to say the BCS conferences are yielding excellent results while the non-BCS conferences are yielding terrible results.  I won’t spend the time on the non-BCS any longer.  I’ll keep stats off to the side just in case, but I can’t imaging […]

10 Nov

NFL Week 9 Wrap

For the week I recovered nicely with 8-5 for 61.54%.  This brings my total for the season to 71-58 for 55.04%.  Theoretical $110 bets on each game profits $720 to this point.

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